2018 Rain Thread

[Trey3216 15346]

1 hour ago, Kyrie Eleison said:

 

spent 6 hours framing out and roofing the last part of my dad’s cookshed in Hewitt today, and it was cold as fuck. and i sweat on my grave for about 2 mins it flurried right around 1:00.

i’m windburned like a mofo and chilled to the bone, but this hot bowl of chicken sausage gumbo is curing what ails me.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

I think you’re right about the flurries.  I was out and about around that time and I swear it was as well 

[phdhorn 6224]

This is crazy for mid-April.  

[Knoxtnhorn 5974]

First Texas spring in 20 years.  WTF is going on?  I figured I'd be having heat exhaustion by now during my soccer games.  Weird to get a sunburn in 50 degree weather, though.

[bolverk 29660]

Memorial Day is just around the corner and the next you know we're looking at a seemingly endless stretch of blazing hot days with zero percent of rain. 

Not gonna complain one bit. No way. Nuh-uh.

[Biff Tannen 45673]

Yeah, I get the feeling this summer is gonna be brutal.

[phdhorn 6224]

For me, I wasn't complaining... but man 3/4 of the country is close to, or below freezing.  Not usual.  At all.

[Nonbryan 173]

20 minutes ago, phdhorn said:

For me, I wasn't complaining... but man 3/4 of the country is close to, or below freezing.  Not usual.  At all.

PHD, No cloak rooom, but what's the cause IYO?

[phdhorn 6224]

The immediate cause is pretty easy to understand, and actually pretty common. A big high pressure system sits over Greenland for most of the winter. Usually it regularly weakens, allowing cold air to go straight across the pole. However, sometimes it sits there and forces low pressure systems and cold air down into the continent. That's what's happened the last month and a half. Some forecasts are actually right and said it would last until May.

Now why that particular high hasn't broken down and has remained strong over Greenland is more complex. Has a lot to do with the jet stream, ocean currents, and similar systems that sit near the Bering Strait. From there it gets a little more complex.

It's not unusual to get cold shots in April or even May. What isn't usual is the uninterrupted nature of this cold and the degree of coverage over the continent.  However pretty much everything I've seen is predicting that this is about to break down.

By the way, some models are actually showing a cooler summer the normal, I'll post ad and whatever new thread comes along for that crap.

[bolverk 29660]

Yeah if you could swing it to make this summer cooler than normal, that'd be niiice.

[staboner 4969]

why do we keep getting cold fronts with rain, but then no rain? why?

we keep getting it dry dammit. 

[Neonmoon 38129]

8 hours ago, staboner said:

why do we keep getting cold fronts with rain, but then no rain? why?

we keep getting it dry dammit. 

Your mom gets it dry 

[phdhorn 6224]

Some fronts come in dry simply because the atmosphere doesn't have much moisture. If there's not much moisture to lift and condensed when the front comes in, there's very little rain.

The atmosphere can be dry and certain Seasons due to the where the jet stream is flowing. Some years we have pretty powerful subtropical jet coming in from Mexico bringing in a lot of moisture from the Pacific and from the Gulf. Most of those fronts are wet.

This year there isn't much of a subtropical jet over the winter, so the air is not really all that humid the spring so far. The other thing is that the jet this year is taking most of the storms while north of us across the United States.

The good news is none of this means squat for the late spring or summer. They could stay dry, but could easily see a weather pattern develop. Probably will know more mat that within a week or two.

[miguelito 11262]

So what I'm hearing is, we need more pollution. 

[Trey3216 15346]

12 hours ago, miguelito said:

So what I'm hearing is, we need more pollution. 

She's got the lily-white cavity crazes??? 

[SquishMitten 10403]

All I know is that Saturday fucking sucked. Ruined my daughter's birthday party and made the Texas game fucking miserable. I live in Texas for a reason, damnit!

[Doc Holliday 199]

14 hours ago, phdhorn said:

Some fronts come in dry simply because the atmosphere doesn't have much moisture. If there's not much moisture to lift and condensed when the front comes in, there's very little rain.

The atmosphere can be dry and certain Seasons due to the where the jet stream is flowing. Some years we have pretty powerful subtropical jet coming in from Mexico bringing in a lot of moisture from the Pacific and from the Gulf. Most of those fronts are wet.

This year there isn't much of a subtropical jet over the winter, so the air is not really all that humid the spring so far. The other thing is that the jet this year is taking most of the storms while north of us across the United States.

The good news is none of this means squat for the late spring or summer. They could stay dry, but could easily see a weather pattern develop. Probably will know more mat that within a week or two.

All I can think about when I read this is how to incorporate it into my next rendezvous with a lady friend from San Diego.  Damn woman, that subtropical jet is really working the moisture levels and bringing in a really strong, wet, front. 

[chesthair 231]

Severe shit lining up for this weekend....and bad weather too? 

[Biff Tannen 45673]

Forecast says it's to be beautiful.

[Post Oak 20209]

Windy AF today

[chesthair 231]

27 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

Forecast says it's to be beautiful.

what about TORCON?

[clapclapclap 9000]

48 minutes ago, chesthair said:

what about TORCON?

The rumor is he's still in jail.

[phdhorn 6224]

lol

Are we not men?  We are PUSSIES!

[Trey3216 15346]

2 hours ago, chesthair said:

what about TORCON?

It’s thigh 

[phdhorn 6224]

Oh, no severe 'round here Friday/Sat overnight.  In fact, < 50% chance anyone in CenTex gets rain, nevermind TORCON DEF 5++++!!!!!!!

[Doc Holliday 199]

21 minutes ago, phdhorn said:

Oh, no severe 'round here Friday/Sat overnight.  In fact, < 50% chance anyone in CenTex gets rain, nevermind TORCON DEF 5++++!!!!!!!

Please, kill my hopes and dreams.

[phdhorn 6224]

3 minutes ago, Doc Holliday said:

Please, kill my hopes and dreams.

These must be them, rite?

[Doc Holliday 199]

Close...I'm working in technicolor

[phdhorn 6224]

4 minutes ago, Doc Holliday said:

Close...I'm working in technicolor

I used to hear that a lot at concerts in the 70's.

[phdhorn 6224]

A rainy patch of rain is raining and coming in from the SW.  Expect a good shower for most of Austin, particularly central/south.
 

[LonghornJones 837]

[Biff Tannen 45673]

Thunder in 78704

[atomheartbevo 89648]

Lots of thunder in 78756. And some light rain.  

Did not expect or want this in the morning. 

[texasdago 7570]

Oh noez (not worries in H-town)

[LonghornJones 837]

[TXLNGHRN10 341]

What's the best way to monitor where the dry line is?

[Hate 20108]

It could suck even more than usual to be in Arkansas over the next 24 hours.

 

 

[Hate 20108]

1 hour ago, TXLNGHRN10 said:

What's the best way to monitor where the dry line is?

The water vapor imagery from the NWS site is a pretty good indicator of where the dry line is.  Here is a link to one of them.

 

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/GOES16_CONUS_Band.php?band=08&length=24

[miguelito 11262]

It's usually dry west of your mom.

[TXLNGHRN10 341]

37 minutes ago, Hate said:

The water vapor imagery from the NWS site is a pretty good indicator of where the dry line is.  Here is a link to one of them.

 

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/GOES16_CONUS_Band.php?band=08&length=24

And there's the storms firing up

[babysdaddy 2721]

Is this going to get rid of the shit in the air that is making me want to cut my head off?  Cause that'd be great

[South Austin 52463]

Muggy as shit today.

[Spur08 382]

Prosper checking in here.  Am I going to get smoked with egg-sized hail like I did last week?

[Stella Link 534]

At this point, rain looks to be totally missing H-Town...

[Uncle Nate 2097]

Shit's about to get real in the 940.

[staboner 4969]

nice little drizzle in the 23. been a weird spring. lots of rainy days but not alot of rain 

Edited April 13, 2018 by staboner

[Trey3216 15346]

1 hour ago, miguelito said:

It's usually dry west of your mom.

It's usually dry on top of your mom, but not so much underneath.  

[skipperj 377]

Because she diarrhead everywhere?

[texhorn 351]

Ready for this fucking wind to go fuck itself. 

[Trey3216 15346]

1 hour ago, skipperj said:

Because she diarrhead everywhere?

It was piss

[Shut up Lou Holtz 2029]

Austin gon thread the needle between the cells