2018 Rain Thread

[Deej 76511]

One gate floods the only exit from the area. 

[clapclapclap 9000]

It's about to get too damn cold for too long too early.

[hornian 5201]

1 hour ago, clapclapclap said:

It's about to get too damn cold for too long too early.

You shut your mouth. 

[Guest Lobo]

The KXAN guy told us that we won’t see the sun at all between Monday and Saturday.  Bring on the yoga pants I guess. ?

[troph 24548]

LT stabilizing at 666.3 or so now. Good stuff!

[phdhorn 6224]

Shit This Weekend Forecast:

Sergio is here - not just the PGA pro who's tapping that Austin ass and put a ring on it, but the remnants of a Pacific tropical storm.  Sergio's filtering all these clouds and rain up our way - not rare but not all that common either, though of course it happens.  Have to have the right conditions (including a strong subtropical jet, which is what you want for rainy falls/winters).

So, for the next 2 days, we'll be in/out of tropical showers - that is, usually brief with small localized areas of heavy downpours.  Lightning/thunder could put a halt to some stuff for awhile, so be ready for delays.  Not a washout today/tomorrow but certainly soupy, humid, cloudy and in and out of small showers all weekend.  Maybe it'll hold off but already there's rain everywhere.

Sunday is the kicker... a strong Canadian cold front is coming, and bringing with it a pretty intense system.  Rain will pick up a lot and Mon-Tues will be especially rainy, and of course those temps... will be COLD or at least pretty damn cool.  Will Sunday night ACL be affected?  Hard to say, but I think so.  Timing of these fronts is always tricky, the bigger ones tend to speed up, so maybe.  I don't know yet, though, will have to track it tomorrow afternoon to know.  But if/when it comes through, it's going to be windy and pretty rainy.  Absolutely shitty weather to watch anything outside.  We'll see.

tl:dr:  in/out of rainshowers all day Saturday and Sunday, could be brief instances of lightning/thunder.  This is a tropical type event, so rain can come/go quickly.  Almost 100% chance of getting at least a brief shower.  But washout?  Probably not.  Wet as shit?  Yeah.  Sunday evening could be the apocalypse wind/rain.  I'll update tomorrow.

[Bill Brasky 1438]

Tornado on the ground near Brady 

[phdhorn 6224]

1 hour ago, Bill Brasky said:

Tornado on the ground near Brady 

Yes, that system has been producing a few tornadoes or at least temporary touchdowns for most of the last 12 hours.most of the worst weather will skirt by us to the north, but we could always get a strong storm down here.

The weather could get a little bumpy down here maybe Sunday night, or Monday, strong cold front passes through.I'll keep an eye on it.

[Radical Larry 28523]

14 hours ago, clapclapclap said:

It's about to get too damn cold for too long too early.

[clapclapclap 9000]

Shaggy Surly next Friday morning when it will still be in the 50's and raining:  "Woe unto us.  Why did you bring us into the wilderness to die?"

[Anastasis 23375]

Weather held together for pregame.

[Assman 1830]

Confirmed tornadoes in Waxahachie and Hillsboro this afternoon.  Waco currently under a tornado warning.

[SimonBolivar 10898]

Just got the mattress out of the bathroom. I ca confirm that the sirens by my house are working very well.

Edited October 13, 2018 by SimonBolivar

[Post Oak 20182]

I was driving back from Salado when my phone started to light up.  Decided to take our time getting back.  Glad we missed the excitement but my dog sure was rattled

Edited October 13, 2018 by Post Oak

[wood 11103]

Hey PHD, how do you see next weekend shaping up in terms of rain? The forecasts have been changing seemingly every ten minutes.Is it too early to tell? I know you like a challenge ...

[Trey3216 15325]

On 10/12/2018 at 1:47 PM, Hate said:

Well then, here you go.

Balls deep 

[Wally Pryor 5240]

Cats and dogs in the 35

[wood 11103]

12 minutes ago, Wally Pryor said:

Cats and dogs in the 35

& the 49.

[atomheartbevo 89362]

56 has lots of flat rocks and cows. 

[Grade of D as in David 13253]

Yeah in the 58 it was coming down like big flat rocks on pissing cows.

[utee94 15742]

13 hours ago, wood said:

Hey PHD, how do you see next weekend shaping up in terms of rain? The forecasts have been changing seemingly every ten minutes.Is it too early to tell? I know you like a challenge ...

Seconded.  Asking for a race track...

[3adays 454]

Had another 1.5” in the rain gauge in 78757 from that storm last night. 

[phdhorn 6224]

13 hours ago, wood said:

Hey PHD, how do you see next weekend shaping up in terms of rain? The forecasts have been changing seemingly every ten minutes.Is it too early to tell? I know you like a challenge ...

 

10 minutes ago, utee94 said:

Seconded.  Asking for a race track...

First, hold onto yer asses.  What we know as summer is fucking gone starting late tonight.  There is going to be an almost 50° swing in "comfort index" (what it "feels like" out there).  Temps are going to linger in the 50s-70-s all week.  

It's completely, utterly unlike any weather we've had since about March.  It's here.

Next week there's another little shot of reinforcing cool air. so temps will be brisk.  How much rain accompanies that is always up for grabs, this far out especially.  But for now these types of cool fronts don't generate tons of long-lasting rain  I'm thinking right now Saturday > Sunday.  Saturday will be cloudy and damp, with periods of light rain.  But not a washout.  Sunday will be partly cloudy with rain out of the picture more or less.  

[Guest Lobo]

Sweet.  Bye week coming at a great time for fishing and camping. 

[phdhorn 6224]

Actually, I meant Saturday < Sunday.  As in Sunday will be the better day.

I was hoping there would be no maths.

[crash_davis 23078]

Mother fucker. Is it every going to stop raining?

[hornian 5201]

2 minutes ago, crash_davis said:

Mother fucker. Is it every going to stop raining?

You shut your gotdamn mouth. 

[troph 24548]

Mother fucker. Is it every going to stop raining?

Now that boating season is over let it rain all winter.

[staboner 4955]

nice out this morning 

[Modessit 5595]

2.31" (so far) at my house in 78724.

[Orange&White 5516]

Just checking in to say that at this exact moment, Lake Travis is at 666.66. 

Some of you soul-less heathens might want to steer clear of it until it rises a little bit.

And the stream flow in Llano is at 24k chicken fried steaks.

Edited October 15, 2018 by Orange&White

[phdhorn 6224]

15 minutes ago, Orange&White said:

Just checking in to say that at this exact moment, Lake Travis is at 666.66.

That's only at Devil's Cove.

[llanoflash 151]

Llano at 224k this am. 

5.9” at Lcra station nearest me. 

Dammmm

[Trey3216 15325]

It’s been raining for 22 straight hours here in Hewitt.  My dog tore the inside of my house up yesterday while we were at work.   Fuck this noise 

Edited October 16, 2018 by Trey3216

[Horns99 155]

Lake Travis expected to be full in 24 hours - was at 666 yesterday morning, 15 fucking feet in 48 hours. That’s a lot of damn water. Going to be lots of boat docks out for the taking - hopefully not mine....



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[Quagmire 2146]

I’m officially sick of all this morhfuckin rain

[Trey3216 15325]

Just now, Quagmire said:

I’m officially sick of all this morhfuckin rain

Username checks out 

[Horns99 155]

6 floodgates open at LBJ & 10 at Lake Marble Falls


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[troph 24548]

Wow 670 now.

Double digit rain west of Travis in 48 hours. Llano looks dangerous.

Holy sheit!

[Modessit 5595]

3.73" in the past 24 hrs on the east side (24).

[llanoflash 151]

Llano now higher than ‘97

crazy

[South Austin 52037]

Once Lake Travis is full, is it okay to say fuck all this rain?

[utee94 15742]

7 minutes ago, troph said:

Wow 670 now.

Double digit rain west of Travis in 48 hours. Llano looks dangerous.

Holy sheit!

They're predicting 680 by the end of this rainfall event.  That's pretty crazy given where we were a little over  3 weeks ago.

Major flooding events out west, prayers for all.

 

[HenryJames 65868]

18 minutes ago, Modessit said:

3.73" in the past 24 hrs on the east side (24).

3.73"? The east side really is gentrified.

[llanoflash 151]

Water within a foot or two of the road on the bridge in llano. That’s not good 

[bolverk 29360]

14 minutes ago, llanoflash said:

Water within a foot or two of the road on the bridge in llano. That’s not good 

That's incredible, as in, that's hard to believe. To be clear, I do believe you though. I've crossed that bridge maybe 100 times and have never imagined the water could get that high. If you can, please post some pics.

P.S. Username checks out.

[llanoflash 151]

Just what I was told by a friend. I am in Austin this am but should get some pics 

[4th_and_18 687]

This bridge? It has risen since this picture.


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[Chet Steadman 940]

Yep.  The Highlands can do some crazy things.  In large part, that’s what they’re designed for.  

Lake Travis once went up 40’ in 24 hours.  

Spencer doing his thing.  He’s the best.  

[4th_and_18 687]

The live news is showing that bridge now. The water is in full contact with bridge now.


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