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2018 Rain Thread

Hollywood

By Hollywood
in Daily Texan

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South Austin
South Austin

I'd keep playing.  I don't think the heavy stuff is gonna come down for quite a while.

RamjetFDO
RamjetFDO

Sorry ... just had to read it in this voice:  

NorthLoop
NorthLoop

That's called dusk

utee94

utee94 15,742

Posted
Posted
Just now, Orange&White said:

Mansfield and Tom Miller gates opening at noon.

That's a good move.  If this were midsummer and no more rain were expected for another week or two, then I'd say they could hold off on that.

But it's not midsummer, and large amounts of rain are imminent for the next week or so.  Time to pass the water on down to the rice farmers.  Lucky bastages! ;)

 

 

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phdhorn

phdhorn 6,224

Posted
Posted

The wall of water going into the lakes is of course incredibly massive but it's not long-lived.  This is why Travis won't get to the spillway.
Of course, if the rains hit again...

The current "regeneration line", that is, the line where the air gets disturbed and continually kicks up showers is still SW of the flooding areas, along a line NW from south of San Antonio through Uvalde, Rocksprings, and Sonora.  As long as this line is in place, the Hill Country will be at risk today for heavy showers.  Right now rain is light but could pick up again.

The cutoff low causing all of this is sitting between Tucson and Phoenix, and it's not moving very fast.  (How many times have we posted about cutoff lows and their potential devastating effect on Texas?).


BTW, this is pretty typical of a strong El Niño year.  Forecast for next few months is actually for Southern U.S. to be cooler than normal, northern U.S. warmer.  More precip in South/Southeast U.S. (that means us).  I think it's off to a good start.  The Niño kicked in in September.  Duh.

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jimmyjazz

jimmyjazz 45,513

Posted
Posted
20 minutes ago, phdhorn said:

The wall of water going into the lakes is of course incredibly massive but it's not long-lived.  This is why Travis won't get to the spillway.
Of course, if the rains hit again...

The "good" news is that the lake widens with every foot of elevation, so it takes an increasingly higher amount of inflow to raise the water level a given amount as it fills up.

#sunshinepumper

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GlenFromTheMailRoom

GlenFromTheMailRoom 1,600

Posted
Posted (edited)
1 minute ago, Anastasis said:

i think they just showed houses totally underwater in that area. 

I think the ones they're showing now are further up the lake but the elevation is about the same.  Fuck.

Our place is right next the country club.  Boat is docked over by the dam.

Edited by GlenFromTheMailRoom
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GlenFromTheMailRoom

GlenFromTheMailRoom 1,600

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Rip76 said:

Nicely done.

As of now, we're considering the boat, day dock, catamaran, and most of downstairs to be total losses.  As of 3 or so hours ago the water was already over the beach area behind the house and that was before the evacuation was called for.   The caretaker of the property hasn't been able to make it back over to let us know the extent of the damage yet.

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Deej

Deej 76,510

Posted
Posted
Just now, GlenFromTheMailRoom said:

As of now, we're considering the boat, day dock, catamaran, and most of downstairs to be total losses.  As of 3 or so hours ago the water was already over the beach area behind the house and that was before the evacuation was called for.   The caretaker of the property hasn't been able to make it back over to let us know the extent of the damage yet.

Username doesn't check out.

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