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Weekly Trump Survivor Island Prediction Thread

Hugo Stiglitz

By Hugo Stiglitz
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Hugo Stiglitz

Hugo Stiglitz 23367

Posted
Posted (edited)

Who gets kicked off (resigns or fired) the Island this week?

Kellyanne Conway

John Kelly

Jared Kushner 

Stephen Miller

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Ben Carson

Scott Pruitt 

Ryan Zinke

Jeff Sessions 

Rod Rosenstein 

Dan Scavino 

Steve Mnuchin 

Robert Mueller 

Wilbur Ross

James Mattis

Betsy Devos

Rick Perry

Nikki Haley 

 

Edited by Hugo Stiglitz
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atomheartbevo

atomheartbevo 89846

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, DixonHur said:

I'll take Pruitt.  The optics of renting on the cheap from a lobbyist is no bueno

Pruitt didn’t commit any mortal sins like bashing Ivanka. He will save Pruitt for when some really nasty story or indictment is about to drop. 

But Conway, it would be personal and petty, since she AND her husband stabbed the Trump’s in the back. 

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RCRanger03

RCRanger03 1049

Posted
Posted

1) Pruitt - would actually be a big blow to Trump, as this has been his most effective cabinet member. 

2) Sessions/Rosenstein/Francisco - once the Mueller bombs start dropping

3) Mattis - He's gonna clash with Bolton in a big way at some point

 

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atomheartbevo

atomheartbevo 89846

Posted
Posted
17 minutes ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

Don’t forget Kellyanne’s connection to Cambridge Analytica 

I don't know that Trump cares at this point - he's got more stuff to worry about as far s CA with his former campaign folks.

Basically, with Kellyanne, it's personal.  Very personal, and he typically takes personal transgressions against his family more seriously than say Pruitt fucking around with lobbyists.

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Francisco 2.0

Francisco 2.0 32432

Posted
Posted

xhttps://www.politico.com/story/2018/04/02/scott-pruitt-white-house-considered-firing-453381

 

Quote

White House chief of staff John Kelly has considered the firing of embattled Environmental Protection Agency chief Scott Pruitt in the coming months as part of a wave of ousters of top officials causing headaches for the president, a senior administration official told POLITICO.

Pruitt is still hanging on for now, in part because Kelly wanted to wait for an upcoming EPA inspector general’s report into his expensive travels, the senior official said. Another possible reason: Pruitt is doing the job President Donald Trump wants — including an announcement Monday that the agency will reverse the Obama administration’s attempt to tighten fuel efficiency standards for cars and trucks.

Quote

But the senior administration official, speaking anonymously to discuss internal policy deliberations, said Kelly had discussed firing Pruitt even before the latest revelations about his housing arrangements.

The official said Kelly had been waiting for the release of a forthcoming EPA inspector general’s report on Pruitt’s travels, which senior aides expected would be damning. Pruitt spent at least $163,000 on first-class flights, charter flights and a military jet during his first year at the agency, including stops in Paris and Morocco, POLITICO has reported based on EPA records. 

Kelly and other aides were also waiting for IG reports on Housing and Urban Development Secretary Ben Carson and then-Veterans Affairs Secretary David Shulkin, the official said.

 

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Pig Bellmont

Pig Bellmont 8742

Posted
Posted

Ted Cruz and Rand Paul coming to defense of Pruitt- proving they only give a shit about wasteful spending and ethics violations if the person was a D. 

Pruitt has to be next. Surely there is still a line where someone can go too far. Exchanging favorable regulations for low rent has got to be that line. 

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Longhorn_Fan68

Longhorn_Fan68 33900

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Pig Bellmont said:

Ted Cruz and Rand Paul coming to defense of Pruitt- proving they only give a shit about wasteful spending and ethics violations if the person was a D. 

Pruitt has to be next. Surely there is still a line where someone can go too far. Exchanging favorable regulations for low rent has got to be that line. 

with friends like these....

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pyrohornIII

pyrohornIII 4823

Posted
Posted

Maybe I was a week early:

Quote

Running Out of Punching Bags, Trump Turns on Mattis

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2018/04/donald-trump-timeline-syria-troop-withdrawal

Quote

ntil recently, Donald Trump’s campaign to purge naysayers had spared the Pentagon. In the absence of more proximate targets, however, it appears the president has turned his attention to foreign policy, jeopardizing his relationship with perhaps his only remaining sane adviser. Indeed, in the past week, Trump has made James Mattis’s job nearly impossible by declaring that he would send the military to guard the border with Mexico (the White House later clarified that he meant the National Guard), and insisting that the U.S. pull out of Syria (something Mattis promised last year would not happen), leading to a spectacular showdown on Tuesday, when the conflict between Trump and his generals reportedly boiled over during a meeting of top aides in the Situation Room.

According to the Associated Press, Mattis argued “that an immediate withdrawal” from Syria “could be catastrophic and was logistically impossible to pull off in any responsible way,” and offered a one-year timeline as an alternative—to which Trump responded that five or six months ought to do the trick, and “indicated that he did not want to hear in October that the military had been unable to fully defeat the Islamic State and had to remain in Syria for longer.” A person familiar with the meeting told CNN that attendees left Tuesday’s meeting “beside themselves,” arguing that Trump’s lack of desire to put together any sort of recovery plan for Syria—restoring basic needs such as water, power, and roads—would most certainly tip the country back into ISIS’s hands. “It is a huge gamble that ISIS is not going to come back and that we are going to rely on others to stabilize Syria,” an official said.

(more in article)

 

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Nolacycling

Nolacycling 893

Posted
Posted
On 4/5/2018 at 1:53 PM, Grandioso said:

DeVos is gonna get shitcanned with all of these teachers striking. Only a matter of time before she gets asked about it and starts saying retarded things.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Can't he send the National Guard in to teach?

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Francisco 2.0

Francisco 2.0 32432

Posted
Posted (edited)

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/04/06/pruitt-was-the-kato-kaelin-of-capitol-hill-505658

 

Quote

Scott Pruitt was only supposed to be living in the Capitol Hill condominium that has become a focal point of his latest ethics controversy for six weeks last year while he got settled in Washington – but the new Environmental Protection Agency administrator didn’t leave when his lease ended.

Instead, he asked the lobbyist couple who became his disgruntled landlords to revise his lease several times, according to two people with knowledge of the situation. 

The couple, Vicki and Steve Hart, became so frustrated by their lingering tenant that they eventually pushed him out and changed their locks. After trying to nudge Pruitt out of their home over the course of several months, the Harts finally told Pruitt in July that they had plans to rent his room to another tenant. 

“The original arrangement was that he would be there living out of a suitcase … and it just kept going and going,” said one of the people with knowledge of the arrangement.

The condo, in which Pruitt rented a bedroom for $50 a night, has attracted the attention of the EPA’s inspector general, which said Thursday it was considering opening an investigation. The agency is already reviewing Pruitt’s taxpayer-funded first-class travel, his use of a special hiring authority to grant raises to aides and his spending on a soundproof phone booth for his office.

 

Quote

That favor turned into a headache for the couple when Pruitt repeatedly asked to extend his lease. “There were gentle questions regarding, OK, when are you going to leave and what have you ... and they even started sending him ads of places close by that he could rent,” said the first person. 

“Scott Pruitt is the Kato Kaelin of Capitol Hill. He is the long-term house guest who takes advantage of his hosts and refuses to take a hint about when it’s time to leave,” the second person said. 

A spokesman for Pruitt did not immediately reply to a request for comment. 

The Harts eventually told Pruitt, who had to be reminded repeatedly to pay his rent, that they had plans to rent the room to somebody else — and that he needed to find another place to live, according to the people familiar with events. They also informed him in early August that they were changing the locks on their door.

 

Edited by Francisco 2.0
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Francisco 2.0

Francisco 2.0 32432

Posted
Posted

Seems awfully similar with Whitewater.

https://www.salon.com/2018/04/05/exclusive-scott-pruitt-trumps-epa-chief-involved-in-shady-2011-real-estate-deal/?preview=true&preview_id=14882425&preview_nonce=97d9028e3e#.Wsqwo2OQ_t0.twitter

Quote

In 2011, Pruitt and his wife, Margaret, bought a property in Tulsa, Oklahoma, just days before a court ruled that it had been fraudulently transferred by a Las Vegas developer who was on the hook for a $3.6 million loan default. Pruitt, who was then Oklahoma attorney general, apparently flipped the property for a $70,000 profit four months later, selling it to a dummy corporation set up by a major campaign contributor, Kevin Hern.

Hern, a successful Tulsa businessman and the finance chair of the Oklahoma Republican Party, has been a major donor to Pruitt and other Republican candidates in the state over the years. According to records on file with the Oklahoma Ethics Commission, Hern contributed $3,500 to Pruitt between 2010 and 2014, and has given a total of $33,625 to Oklahoma candidates since 2006.

Hern attended Pruitt’s Senate confirmation hearing in January 2017 and posted about it on his Facebook page. He is now a Republican candidate for Congress in Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district.

The circumstances surrounding Pruitt’s apparent sweetheart deal remain murky.

In 2010, an affiliate of Rialto Capital Management (RCM), a company based in Miami, sued a developer named Keith Lyon in Arizona federal court for defaulting on a $3.6 million loan that Lyon had guaranteed in 2007 with a number of Las Vegas and Tulsa properties. RCM won a $2 million judgment against Lyon and other defendants on Aug. 25, 2011. 

Lyon then apparently vanished, after transferring 27 of those properties in 2009 to entities controlled by a woman named Pamela Rex (formerly Pamela Rooks), a fitness model who had lived with Lyon from 1998 to 2008. 

RCM then sued Rex for fraud under the Uniform Fraudulent Transfer Act, seeking $4.7 million in damages, claiming that Lyon had fraudulently transferred the properties and other assets worth $7.5 million to Rex for no monetary payment.

One of those properties was at 1801 Forrest Drive in Tulsa, which was transferred to the Rooks Trust, an entity solely controlled by Pamela Rex. Pruitt bought the vacant lot from the Rooks Trust on Aug. 16, 2011 — just 10 days before the federal court judgment against Lyons — for $415,000.

 

Quote

Four months later, on Dec. 22, 2011, Pruitt sold the property for $485,000 — a $70,000 profit — to a previously unknown company called KNJ Construction, LLC. That entity was set up by Kevin Hern two days before the sale and has been inactive ever since.

Evidence suggests that Pruitt planned the quick turnaround on the property in advance. On Sept. 1, 2011, about two weeks after the purchase, Pruitt and his wife took out a short-term, 15-month mortgage from Security Bank in Tulsa. Hern built a luxury house on the property after purchasing it from Pruitt, and sold it 18 months later for $1.7 million. 

 

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